Value to be had in the 2015 Grand National
With the big day approaching fast it is time for us to look for some value in the market with lots of “non-runner no bet” offers it might be a good time to get your selections bet now with prices often crumbling on the day.
The head of the weights in The Grand National 2015 is Lord Windermere. It is not often that a Gold Cup winner is available at 33/1 but he has not looked as good as when he won the Gold Cup last season but is a classy horse all the same.
One of the most interesting runners is Shutthefrontdoor. Trained by JonJo O’Neill. This horse won the Irish National this time last year and has had only one run since and that was back in November where he showed he is in good form winning a graduation chase by 6 lengths. He is sure to be well supported if he turns out to be the last ride from the Champion Jockey A.P.McCoy. A horse laid out for this race and looks likely to carry a real racing weight.
Another horse laid out for this year’s race is the smart cross country specialist Balthazar King. He was a great second in the race last year and is looking to go one better. Six wins and one second in his last 8 races gives you an idea of this horse’s talent. His run last year came after his fine win the in the cross-country race at the Cheltenham festival. It is impossible to tell how much effect that win had on his run but this season he has not raced since November. He is a good horse who runs well when fresh and looks to have a great chance in this race.
Last year’s winner Pineau De Re lines up again this year. He has done little wrong in his prep races which have all been hurdle races. He has been ticking along all season with this race in mind. Set to carry more weight and to get only 2lbs from Balthazar King who gave him 7lbs last year. He will have to improve on last year’s run but should be able to, however the stats are not good for previous winners with the last horse to win more than once was the Grand National Specialist Red Rum who won back in 1973, 1974 and 1977.
Last year’s 4th placed horse Alvarado has come in for some good support this year and is perhaps the best of the Irish contenders. He stayed out of trouble in the race last year and stayed on at the end. If ridden closer to the leaders this year he could be a formidable horse.
Some lively horses are available at bigger odds. One that catches the eye is Soll who currently looks set to just get in (needs 9 horses to defect to get a run). He ran in this race as an 8 year old back in 2013 and was prominent for a long way before a mistake at Valentines on the second circuit saw him loose some momentum. He was weakening at the end of the race but looks the type to stay on and continued to do so finishing a creditable 7th. Two years stronger now and after losing his form a little he has changed trainers and is now with the David Pipe Stable. The change looks to have done him good with him wining his two races this season for Pipe both in veterans chases and over 3 miles and 3miles 2 ˝ furlongs. Looks the right type for the race and I would expect a big run.